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Monday night underdog betting Monday, Jul 5 2010 

Ever since there were bets being placed on the NFL, there were betting systems, and one of the first to become widespread, was betting on the Monday night home underdog. Especially during the seventies and eighties, the Monday night home underdog system was without a doubt the most successful and widespread betting system around.

In fact this system that peaked during the seventies and eighties was so popular and widespread, that it is still a well known system today and even players of the younger generations know about it or are even using this system to place their wagers.

Unfortunately, all good things come to an end and this holds especially true for sports betting in general, where everything runs in cycles and the cycle of the underdog has come to an end. Starting from 1985, the Monday underdogs show 67 to 57 against the point spread, which is still profitable although it is a very tiny profit. In fact these odds cannot even compare to the ones the system used to generate during its peak during the seventies.

When we analyze our historical data we will quickly find out that the bulk of the wins that come from the latter half of the eighties are at 20 to 28 averaged over the last ten seasons of that time period. When we take a look at the last five years it becomes worse with odds like 10 to 14, and finally looking at the last months, the odds have been 7 to 8. With this it is clearly showing a turn from a profit into a loss. At this point it is clear that the system no longer works and should be abandoned, but this is often easier said than done.

A problem many seasoned gamblers have to combat is getting set in their ways, and it is a fact that many still bet on the underdog automatically, even though the odds are no longer in their favor. Even though the odds are now stacked against them, they continue to bet on the underdog on autopilot, and continue to do so out of habit.

Smart players will look at the handicapping and bet on the favorite, whoever that may be, which is a proposition at far better odds as the system of betting on the Monday night home underdog has finally become a thing of the past.

So the advice for all sports betting veterans is to let go of the habit, and put the underdog betting system on ice. It no longer works, and has become a sure fire way to sustain losses.
M.A.H.

Calculating bets on Football games Tuesday, Mar 30 2010 

Most gamblers that bet on football games go to great lengths when it comes to accumulating and calculating statistics in order to make a calculated bet. These calculations involve the yards per point, points gained per hundred yards, and various other statistics they can gather. Basically everything the player thinks will give an edge will be taken into account in order to make the best bet at the least risk. Obviously that takes a lot of time before all information is processed and calculated and an outcome has been produced that the player can bet on. It is also quite pointless.

When placing a wager on a football game there is such a thing as over thinking it. Calculating everything in great detail is not always the best approach when it comes to sports betting. A lot of the information available is statistics that involve a high level of chance, and past success is by no means a guarantee for the future success. Some of the best sports bettors out there that have been placing wagers on these types of games for years and years only need a few minutes in order to determine who to bet on, by simply calculating the points scored per team.

In general a period of 6 seasons are used to calculate the scores and a distinction is made between the top 5 teams with the highest amount of points and the 5 lowest scoring teams.

Though there is no guarantee that those teams will continue in the way the outcome of these calculations predict, it is an indicator and makes it possible to bet on or against a team predicting an outcome that is more likely to come true. In fact this is the closest thing to placing a calculated bet on a football game; everything else is unlikely to contribute anything to the betting chances of the player.

While these calculations are in no way fool proof, and as stated there are no guarantees, it is easier to place a bet based on these calculations rather than taking every little detail into account. The results of a team, like the bets itself, involve a relatively high amount of chance. Therefore it is rather pointless to calculate it all with the expectation to gain the advantage over the other gamblers placing a wager. It is better to keep it to the simple statistics and use figures that are most likely to come to pass.

In other words, use the K.I.S.S method: Keep It Simple Stupid!

M.A.H.

The Best NFL Betting Sites Online Saturday, Oct 7 2006 

While online gambling and sports betting continues to win thousands of new fans every day, NFL Betting is undeniably one of the most popular forms of gambling during the U.S. football season. NFL betting sites the world over offer football enthusiasts the opportunity to enjoy real time betting on live matches and the procedure in doing so is often much more simple than betting with traditional bookmakers.

To reap the benefits of betting with NFL betting sites, all you need to do initially is open an account with a reputable online gambling site. An example of one of these is BetUS.com, which has over 12 years experience and is heavily endorsed by Jesse Ventura, ex-WWF superstar and former Governor. The site also offers its members the chance to win prizes in free contests, plus a generous bonus scheme and a $5 million dollar parlay.
After you’ve opened an account, you need to find information on the odds offered by your site. NFL betting sites typically display these betting odds prominently, along with instructions on how to use your account for depositing funds and withdrawing funds.

Understanding basic rules on how NFL betting sites work is useful when it comes to placing successful bets on your favorite teams. One of the most popular types of bet to emerge in recent years is referred to as a combination or parlay wager, which helps a fan boost his chances of winning. The bet is placed over a series of several games, increasing the likelihood that you will win back your initial wager and more. Another type of bet is known as a Point Spread Bet. These are used on NFL betting sites to make the betting between two teams more competitive. For example if a strong team is scheduled to play a much weaker team, chances are the majority of bets will be placed on the stronger winning. Point Spread Bets level the playing field by awarding the team commonly expected to lose with extra points. An equal number of points are then deducted from the stronger team. NFL enthusiasts that choose the right point spread number, win.

Point spread bets require a lot of research and attention as NFL betting sites need to factor in many different components before awarding the point spread, including player injuries and weather forecasts. Sometimes the betting spreadsheet still features a disproportionate number of bets that favor the stronger team. When this occurs, NFL betting sites increase the odds for the team expected to lose. Betting activities on both teams are represented online by a positive number and a negative number. If the team awarded the positive number loses by the positive number, the gambler wins.

Likewise if the less favored team wins by a number greater than the negative number on the spreadsheet, the gambler wins.

An example of this is a point spread listing for The Raiders (+4) and The Jets (-4). If you choose to wager on the Jets and they win the game by more than four points, you will win back your original bet and more. However, if they lose, you lose your original wager.
Most NFL sites make approximately ten percent profit on point spread bets.

All You Need to Know About the NFL Betting Draft Saturday, Oct 7 2006 

The 2006 NFL Draft is fast approaching and NFL betting fans would do well to start preparing for the action. All through the world of online sportsbooks, the same questions are being asked – who will be this season’s top performers and which surprises are in store for the NFL betting world? In preparation for the April Draft, let us consider some of the teams and their stars headlining this year’s event.
Undoubtedly, the season’s major headlines have focused on the ongoing dispute between the Players Association and the owners regarding the labor contract agreement. With deadlines being delayed by three days to give parties further time for considering, fans are keeping a close eye on proceedings and eagerly anticipating a resolution.
As far as teams go, the Houston Texas are this season’s favorites at 2 to 14 odds. Following in second place is the New Orleans Saints, just ahead of the Tennessee Titans, who are hoping to rebuild their ranks after last year’s salary cap sent some well known faces packing. The New York Jets are in fifth spot as favorites, although several NFL betting enthusiasts have pointed out that the team needs to considerably improve their offensive tackling on last season’s efforts.
In terms of favorite players, USC’s popular all-rounder Reggie Bush is in first place for his returning, receiving and sprinting skills. Among the top six favorites are Vince Young from Texas, Virginia’s D’Brickashaw Ferguson and Heisman Trophy winner Matt Leinart from Southern California.

Bodog’s NFL Betting Lines Available Today Saturday, Oct 7 2006 

NFL betting is fast becoming one of the most popular forms of online gambling. Due to the popularity of the pastime, finding soft lines to wager on is becoming increasingly difficult. What this adds up to is that when a top online sportsbook releases its NFL betting lines, it’s best to act fast.
Usually as soon as NFL betting lines are posted, the more experienced online gambling fans rush to ensure their handicaps make softer betting options valueless. Many square bettors add inflated numbers to NFL betting lines that lack value. Online gambling operators may make errors with opening numbers each week but this is not a common occurrence. But the savvy player can recognize this and capitalize on it.

For instance, if a fan comes across a NFL betting line with a total that began at 36 and is now 37.5, the most prudent course of action would be to ignore it even if the over seems appealing. More experienced online gambling fans may still decide to bet on 37.5 but in order to come out on top as a winner, it is worthwhile learning how to recognize when prompt action is required and when betting on numbers that lack value will do you little good.
Leading online sportsbook Bodog released its NFL football betting lines this week, so why not study them and see for yourself if you can predict the action and take advantage of any soft betting lines?

Proven NFL Betting Tips Saturday, Oct 7 2006 

NFL betting is the latest fix for NFL addicts, allowing you to bet on your favorite team online at a huge range of international online casinos and sportsbooks. While football fans had to previously visit a traditional betting agency to make wagers on their favorite sport, the introduction of NFL betting online has revolutionized the pastime and made it possible for NFL enthusiasts to experience the excitement of gambling for the first time.
Generally the deals offered by online gambling sites offer football fans far more benefits than their local bookmakers are able to. Collecting winnings and calling in bets over the telephone are a thing of the past when participating in NFL betting online. Another advantage is that unlike bookmakers, many online gambling sites offer new members generous bonuses for signing up as members. Many others also operate a rewards system for regular players. NFL betting has become vastly popular, making it more difficult for individual online gambling sites to attract players; hence a heightened level of competition in the industry makes the environment even more favorable for betting fans.
Some of the longer established sportsbooks offer the most favorable odds for NFL betting. Among them VIP Sports has a respected reputation as a reliable and competitive sports betting site that always pays out its winnings in a timely manner and offers a generous signup bonus for new customers. VIP Sports also cater for a wide variety of transaction methods and process player deposits promptly and professionally.
Another solid online gambling site with an unblemished reputation is Pinnacle Sportsbook. NFL betting online attracts thousands of fans to Pinnacle Sportsbook, where quick payouts to winners via Neteller and reduced juice betting options make this online gambling site one of the best online.