Calculating bets on Football games Tuesday, Mar 30 2010
NFL Betting 12:05 pm
Most gamblers that bet on football games go to great lengths when it comes to accumulating and calculating statistics in order to make a calculated bet. These calculations involve the yards per point, points gained per hundred yards, and various other statistics they can gather. Basically everything the player thinks will give an edge will be taken into account in order to make the best bet at the least risk. Obviously that takes a lot of time before all information is processed and calculated and an outcome has been produced that the player can bet on. It is also quite pointless.
When placing a wager on a football game there is such a thing as over thinking it. Calculating everything in great detail is not always the best approach when it comes to sports betting. A lot of the information available is statistics that involve a high level of chance, and past success is by no means a guarantee for the future success. Some of the best sports bettors out there that have been placing wagers on these types of games for years and years only need a few minutes in order to determine who to bet on, by simply calculating the points scored per team.
In general a period of 6 seasons are used to calculate the scores and a distinction is made between the top 5 teams with the highest amount of points and the 5 lowest scoring teams.
Though there is no guarantee that those teams will continue in the way the outcome of these calculations predict, it is an indicator and makes it possible to bet on or against a team predicting an outcome that is more likely to come true. In fact this is the closest thing to placing a calculated bet on a football game; everything else is unlikely to contribute anything to the betting chances of the player.
While these calculations are in no way fool proof, and as stated there are no guarantees, it is easier to place a bet based on these calculations rather than taking every little detail into account. The results of a team, like the bets itself, involve a relatively high amount of chance. Therefore it is rather pointless to calculate it all with the expectation to gain the advantage over the other gamblers placing a wager. It is better to keep it to the simple statistics and use figures that are most likely to come to pass.
In other words, use the K.I.S.S method: Keep It Simple Stupid!
M.A.H.